|
|
Dr.
David Hyrenbach
Office:
CTSA
# 1, Oceanic Institute
|
Office
Hours:
(HLC,
2nd floor lanai)
Tu
& Th; 10:45 - 12:00
or
by appointment at CTSA #1, OI
|
We will use two texts and a
free online resource:
|
|
Required:
Discovering Statistics Using R, 2012,
Andy Field, Jeremy Miles and Zoe Field. Sage Publications,
Thousand Oaks (USA)
ISBN: 9781446200469
|
|
|
Recommended:
A Primer of Ecological Statistics, 2004,
Nicholas Gotelli and Aaron Ellison, Sinauer Associates
Inc., Sunderland
ISBN: 0878932690
(On
Reserve, Atherton Library)
|
Download a free PDF andthe textbook’s source files
at: www.openintro.org/stat/textbook.php
|
Recommended:
Updated: August 19th, 2017.
This textbook is available under a Creative Commons License.
(Available
freely on line)
|
The
PDFs posted on this page are for class use only.
Please
do not distribute.
|
Week
1
- Course
Introduction
and Foundations
|
Task for this Week: Review The Scientific
Method
Lecture
1: Tuesday Aug. 28
Introduction
- Three Statistical Frameworks
|
Assigned
Reading:
Platt J.R. (1964)
Strong inference. Science, 146:
347-353
|
|
|
Assigned
Reading:
Quinn J.F., & Dunham A.E. (1983)
On hypothesis testing in ecology
and evolution. The American Naturalist, 122(5):
602-617
|
(2
Mb)
|
|
Extra Reading:
O'Donohue, W., & Buchanan, J.A.
(2001)
The weaknesses of strong inference.
Behavior & Philosophy, 29: 1-20
|
|
|
Week
2
- Simple and Conditional Probability
|
Task for this Week: Review
Simple and Conditional Probability
|
Assigned
Reading:
Diamond, J. (1988).
Why cats have nine lives.
Nature 332 (6165): 586–587.
|
|
|
Extra
Reading:
Chimowitz MI, et al. (2011).
Stenting versus Aggressive Medical Therapy
for Intracranial Arterial Stenosis. New
England Journal of Medicine 365:993-1003.
|
(501
Kb)
|
|
Extra
Reading:
Lewison, R.L., Soykan, C.U.,
& Franklin J. (2009).
Mapping the bycatch seascape: multispecies
and
multi-scale spatial patterns of fisheries
bycatch.
Ecological Applications 19(4): 920–930.
|
(543
Kb)
|
Lecture
4: Thursday Sept. 6
Conditional
Probability (and Bayesian Statistics)
|
Assigned
Reading:
Silver, N. (2012). Less
and less and less wrong. Pp. 232 - 261.
In: The Signal and the
Noise. Penguin Press, New York.
|
|
|
Extra
Reading:
Marcus, G., & Davis,
E. (2013) What Nate Silver Gets Wrong.
The New Yorker.
|
|
|
Extra
Reading:
Is God Bayesian ? Unwim
VS. Wiggins
|
(88
Kb)
|
|
Week
3
- Statistical Inference
|
Task for
this Week: Making Statistical Predictions
Lecture
5: Tuesday Sept. 11
|
Extra
Reading:
Fairfield-Walsh,
C. Garrison, L. 2007. Estimated Bycatch
of Marine Mammals and Turtles
in the U.S. Atlantic Pelagic
Longline Fleet During 2006. NOAA Technical
Memorandum NOAA NMFS-SEFSC-560:
54 p.
|
(883
Kb)
|
Lecture
6: Thursday Sept. 13
QUIZ#1
(Sampling and Probability)
|
Assigned
Reading:
Silver,
N. (2012). How to drown
in 3 feet of water.
Pp. 176 - 203.
In:
The Signal and the Noise.
Penguin Press, New York.
|
|
|
Week
4
- R &
Probability
Distributions
|
Task
for this Week: Working with
Probability Distributions
Lecture
8: Thursday Sept.
20
QUIZ#2
(Estimation: Central
Tendency / Variability)
Estimation
and Statistical
Modelling
|
Assigned
Reading:
Silver,
N. (2012).
Desperately
Seeking
Signal.
Pp. 142
- 175.
In:
The Signal
and the
Noise. Penguin
Press, New
York.
|
|
|
Week
5
-
Parametric
Assumptions
|
Task
for
this
Week:
Assumptions
and
Data
Transformations
Lecture
9:
Tuesday
Sept.
25
Probability
Distributions
|
Assigned
Reading:
Limbert,
E.,
Stahel,
W.A.,
&
Abbt,
M.
(2001)
Log-normal
Distributions
across
the
Sciences:
Keys
and
Clues.
Bioscience
51:5:
341-352.
|
|
|
Week
6
-
Assessing
Normality
|
Task
for
this
Week:
Assessing
Data
Normality
Lecture
11:
Tuesday
Oct.
2
Data
Transformations
RExam
Dataset
Lecture
12:
Thursday
Oct.
4
QUIZ#4
(Assessing
Normality:
Assumptions
&
Approaches)
Dealing
with
the
lack
of
Normality
-
Theory
&
Practice
|
Week
7
-
Using
Statistical
Models
to
Test
Hypotheses
|
Task
for
this
Week:
Start
Exploring
Statistical
Models
|
Week
8
-
Correlation
and
Regression
|
Task
for
this
Week:
Explore
Correlation
and
Regression
|
Week
9
-
Comparing
Two
(or
more)
Means
|
Task
for
this
Week:
Consider
Multiple
Variables
|
Week
10
-
Comparing
Two
(or
more)
Means
|
Task
for
this
Week:
Explore
ANOVA
|
Week
11
-
Multi-way
ANOVA
|
Task
for
this
Week:
Continue
Exploring
ANOVA
Lecture
21:
Tuesday
Nov.
6
Lecture
22:
Thursday
Nov.
8
QUIZ#7
(Comparing
Two
Means)
Multifactor
ANOVA:
Factorial
&
Nested
Designs
BeerGoggleDataset
|
Week
12
-
Other
Statistical
Applications
|
Task
for
this
Week:
Explore
Other
Statistical
Tests
Lecture
24:
Thursday
Nov.
15
QUIZ#8
(Analysis
of
Variance)
Nonparametric
Tests
DrugDataset
SoyaDataset
|
Week
13
-
Other
Applications
|
Task
for
this
Week:
Explore
Other
Statistical
Concepts
Lecture
25:
Tuesday
Nov.
20
Statistical
Power
|
Extra
Reading:
Dayton,
P.K.
(1998)
Reversal
of
the
burden
of
proof
in
fisheries
management.
Science
279
(5352):
821-822.
|
(655
Kb)
|
|
Extra
Reading:
Benjamin,
D.J.
et
al.
(2017)
Redefine
Statistical
Significance.
PsyArXiv,
22
July
2017.
Web.
|
(7.1
Mb)
|
|
Extra
Reading:
Unreliable
Research.
trouble
at
the
lab.
The
Economist,
October
19th,
2013
|
(217
Kb)
|
Thursday
Nov.
22
NO
CLASS
-
Thanksgivings
|
|
|
Task
for
this
Week:
Wrap
Up
Lecture
26:
Tuesday
Nov.
27
QUIZ#9
(Contingency
Tables
and
Nonparametric
Tests)
Wrap-Up
Lecture
27
:
Thursday
Nov.
29
Final
Exam
Review:
Jeopardy
|
|
Thursday
Dec.
6
(9.10
-
11.35)
Submit
Take-home
Final
Take
In-Class
Final
|
|
